19 Polymarket Accounts with 98% Win Rate, 42 Bets Profit Approximately $22,000

By: www.wsj.com|2026/09/12 03:23:18

A group of 19 interconnected Polymarket accounts has concentrated their bets over the past few months on the earnings reports of publicly traded companies audited by KPMG, involving 18 KPMG clients such as Wells Fargo, Home Depot, DoorDash, and General Mills. This group of accounts has conducted a total of 42 transactions, with 41 of them being profitable, resulting in a win rate of 98% and a cumulative profit of approximately $22,000. The related funds have circulated among the 19 accounts, suspected to be controlled by the same individual or team. U.S. law enforcement is investigating a KPMG employee suspected of using Polymarket for insider trading, as the employee is under investigation for betting on whether the quarterly performance of publicly traded companies would exceed market expectations. It is currently unclear whether this group of accounts is related to the employee, and the analysis itself cannot prove the existence of insider trading. KPMG has stated that it takes a zero-tolerance stance on trading using non-public client information and has strengthened relevant monitoring.

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