Analysis: If we use past cycles to predict this bull run, we should focus on the accelerated upward trend between Q3 of this year and Q1 of next year.

By: theblockbeats.news|2025/08/09 00:12:04
0
Share
copy

BlockBeats News, August 8th, regarding the question of "At which stage of the cycle is the crypto market currently in," CoinDesk Data's Diwan pointed out that historically, Bitcoin's most significant price appreciation occurred between the 500th and 720th days after the halving. Diwan mentioned that in the 2016 and 2020 cycles, Bitcoin peaked within this window. "If this pattern repeats, then we should pay attention to a possible accelerated rise between the third quarter of 2025 and the beginning of the first quarter of 2026. Compared to the post-halving periods, the price trend of this cycle has been notably subdued."

Bitwise Asset Management's Hougan, on the other hand, stated that the four-year cycle has ended, but to formally declare its death, Bitcoin would need to perform well in 2026, which he expects to happen. In a comment via email, Hougan said, "I don't think we have eliminated volatility, but I think, first, the forces that historically drove the four-year cycle are weaker than they used to be, and second, there are some other very powerful forces developing on different timelines that I think are going to overwhelm the trend of our four-year cycle."

-- Price

--

You may also like

Daily Observation of Cryptocurrency Concept Stocks: Nasdaq Bets on Stocks on the Blockchain, Strategy Buys Another 17,994 BTC, ETH Treasury Stocks Enter Production Period

Traditional exchanges are beginning to embrace stock tokenization, while BTC treasury companies continue to increase their holdings through capital market instruments. ETH treasury companies, beyond Bitcoin, are also starting to validate the "holding + earning interest" balance sheet logic.

One-click onboarding to RootData, allowing project information to be accurately presented on over 200 platforms including Binance Wallet, Gate, TP, and more

Exchanging disclosure for trust, transparency is no longer a cost of the project, but a core asset for long-termists.

To the Builders who are still persevering in the crypto industry

Kydo deeply reflects on the dilemmas of the cryptocurrency industry: bidding farewell to the false prosperity of "selling infrastructure to developers" and proposing a new paradigm of using programmable capital to provide growth fuel for AI Agent companies.

Oil Price Cools Off, Crypto Bounces Back

Why Oil and Bitcoin Prices Always Move in Opposite Directions

a16z Releases Top 100 AI Applications List, Models Are Moving Out of the Browser and App

With the rise of video creation, Agent tools, and AI browsers, AI is evolving from a chat product into a new platform and operating environment.

If you only follow the news, you may have misconstrued this Iran conflict

With a Narrative-Driven Agenda, Western Media Falsifies War Coverage

Popular coins

Latest Crypto News

Read more