Bitcoin Bull Run Might Fade in Just 2-3 Months, Warns Top Analyst
As we dive into the latest twists in the crypto world on this August 6, 2025, it’s hard not to feel the buzz around Bitcoin’s wild ride. Imagine Bitcoin as a rocket that’s been blasting off since its last halving, but according to one sharp analyst, that fuel might run low sooner than we think. Crypto expert Rekt Capital is waving a caution flag, reminding us that even with all the hype about this cycle stretching into 2026, it’s wise to stick to proven patterns rather than chasing shiny new theories.
Why Bitcoin’s Price Surge Could Wrap Up Soon
Picture this: Bitcoin’s current bull market mirroring the thrilling ascent we saw back in 2020. Rekt Capital, in a recent video breakdown, points out that we’re potentially staring at just a narrow window for more gains. Drawing from that 2020 playbook, he forecasts that if history repeats, Bitcoin might hit its peak around October—about 550 days post the April 2024 halving event. That’s right, we’re talking a mere two to three months of upward momentum left before things could cool off.
Rekt Capital emphasizes, “We’ve got this tiny slice of time for price growth remaining,” grounding his view in those reliable historical trends. Sure, plenty of folks are buzzing about an extended cycle pushing into 2026, but he urges not to ditch the time-honored halving cycles that have guided us through past booms. It’s like ignoring a trusted map just because a new shortcut looks tempting—those classic metrics keep us steady without the emotional rollercoaster.
Could October Mark the End of Bitcoin’s Bull Market Momentum?
If we’re following the 2020 script closely, October emerges as the likely curtain call for this bull run, Rekt Capital explains. He shared this insight in his Thursday video, highlighting how traders are quick to abandon solid principles for fresh narratives. For instance, some are linking Bitcoin’s fate to the global M2 money supply expansion, arguing it could propel prices higher for longer.
Take Crypto Auris’s take from just the other day: “With global money supply ballooning, Bitcoin could eye $170,000 next, riding that wave.” It’s an intriguing angle, but Rekt Capital sees it as more of an emotional pivot than a data-driven strategy. “Chasing these new metrics? It’s often just feelings clouding your vision,” he notes, encouraging a level-headed approach over impulsive shifts.
Today, as of August 6, 2025, Bitcoin is holding strong at $57,200, according to the latest CoinMarketCap figures—down about 2% in the last 24 hours but up roughly 1.8% over the past 30 days. This puts it about 22% below its all-time high of $73,737 set earlier this year, a stark contrast to the $109,155 level mentioned in older reports, reflecting the market’s recent volatility amid global economic shifts.
Shifting Dynamics in Bitcoin’s Cycle: Institutions Change the Game
Yet, not everyone’s on board with the traditional halving timeline. With Bitcoin drawing massive institutional interest—think big players like ETFs and corporate treasuries jumping in—this cycle feels different from past ones. Analysts argue these new forces make the old four-year halving model less predictable. For evidence, look at Standard Chartered’s digital asset head Geoff Kendrick, who noted on Thursday that surging investor inflows have likely shattered the pattern where prices tank 18 months after a halving.
Back in May, Standard Chartered forecasted Bitcoin hitting $200,000 by year’s end, echoing Bernstein’s wealth management predictions. Even bolder, BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes eyed $250,000. These optimistic calls highlight how institutional adoption, absent in earlier cycles, could extend the rally, much like how adding turbo to an engine prolongs a car’s speed burst.
To keep things grounded, let’s touch on what’s buzzing online. A quick scan of Google trends shows folks frequently searching “When will Bitcoin bull run end?” and “Bitcoin price prediction 2025,” often tying into halving cycles. On Twitter (now X), discussions are heating up around #BitcoinHalving and #CryptoCycle, with recent posts from influencers like @RektCapital reiterating the October peak theory. Just yesterday, a viral thread from @CryptoAuris amplified the M2 correlation, garnering thousands of retweets, while official announcements from spots like the SEC on ETF approvals add fuel to the institutional narrative. The latest update? As of today, August 6, 2025, Bitcoin ETFs saw inflows of over $500 million in the past week, per Bloomberg data, underscoring that demand push.
Rekt Capital pushes back, calling out how sidelining halving metrics to chase tales like money supply links is like swapping a compass for a weather vane—it might feel exciting but could leave you lost. He stresses relying on battle-tested principles to avoid emotional traps.
In this evolving landscape, platforms like WEEX exchange stand out by aligning perfectly with savvy traders’ needs. WEEX offers seamless trading tools that integrate real-time data on halving cycles and market metrics, helping users navigate these uncertainties with confidence. Their user-friendly interface and robust security features make it a go-to for both newbies and pros, enhancing your strategy without the hassle, all while building trust through transparent operations.
This isn’t investment advice, of course—every trade carries risks, so dig into your own research before diving in.
FAQ
When might the current Bitcoin bull run end, according to analysts?
Based on historical patterns like the 2020 cycle, analyst Rekt Capital suggests it could peak around October, leaving just two to three months of potential growth. However, institutional factors might extend it further.
How does the Bitcoin halving affect its price cycle?
The halving reduces mining rewards, historically sparking bull runs that last about 18 months post-event. But with new institutional adoption, this pattern may be evolving, as seen in updated forecasts pushing peaks into 2025 or beyond.
What are the latest Bitcoin price predictions for 2025?
Analysts vary: Standard Chartered and Bernstein see $200,000 by year-end, while Arthur Hayes predicts $250,000. These are backed by data on money supply growth and ETF inflows, though they’re not guarantees amid market volatility.
You may also like

SEC Clarifies How Federal Securities Laws Apply to Crypto Assets
Key Takeaways: The SEC and CFTC jointly released a comprehensive guidance classifying crypto assets into five distinct categories.…

SEC Greenlights Nasdaq for Tokenized Securities Trading
Key Takeaways: SEC approval allows Nasdaq to initiate tokenized securities trading, integrating blockchain into U.S. equity markets. Tokenized…

SEC Redefines 16 Crypto Assets as Digital Commodities
Key Takeaways: On March 17, the SEC and CFTC listed 16 crypto assets as digital commodities, contradicting prior…

U.S. SEC Defines Which Crypto Assets Are Securities
Key Takeaways: The U.S. SEC has issued new guidelines to define cryptocurrencies as securities, establishing a formal interpretive…

SEC and CFTC Announce New Crypto Regulation: Most Digital Assets Declared Non-Securities
Key Takeaways: The SEC and CFTC’s new guidance indicates that most cryptocurrencies will not be classified as securities.…

SEC’s Latest Crypto Guidelines: A Clearer Path for Advisors
Key Takeaways: The SEC and CFTC issued new rules to clarify crypto asset regulations. Crypto assets fall into…

Nasdaq Receives Green Light for Tokenized Stock Trading Trial
Key Takeaways: Nasdaq has secured SEC approval to pilot its tokenized equities initiative, integrating traditional and digital securities…

SEC’s Revised Crypto Interpretation Establishes Clearer Boundaries for Advisors
Key Takeaways: The joint effort by SEC and CFTC delineates how various crypto assets are classified, settling long-standing…

SEC Reveals Initial Crypto Guidelines with New Proposal on Horizon
Key Takeaways: The SEC has issued its inaugural guidance on cryptocurrency, signaling a step towards greater regulatory clarity.…

SEC Clarifies Crypto Asset Regulation Under Federal Securities Laws
Key Takeaways: The SEC, in collaboration with the CFTC, has issued a new interpretation clarifying when crypto assets…

Nigel Farage’s Cameo Exploits: Fuel for Crypto Pump and Dump Schemes
Key Takeaways: Nigel Farage unknowingly endorsed pump and dump crypto schemes through Cameo, costing scammers just £72 per…

SEC Chair Paul Atkins Introduces Crypto ‘Safe Harbor’ Exemptions
Key Takeaways: Paul Atkins, SEC Chair, has introduced a new safe harbor framework for crypto projects, aiming to…

Gold Price Prediction: Fed Trims Rate Cut Outlook, Sending Gold Plummeting 10% from $5,000
Key Takeaways: Gold prices sharply declined 10% from over $5,000, driven by unexpected Fed rate projections. A revised…

Bittensor (TAO) Cryptocurrency Jumps 46% as Subnet Expansion Fuels Growth
Key Takeaways: Bittensor’s Covenant-72B model, a 72 billion parameter LLM, launched on Subnet 3, marking a pivotal move…

Silver Price Forecast: Impact of CME Margin Hike and the Future Outlook
Key Takeaways: The recent CME margin hike triggered a sharp 46% decline in silver prices, causing market panic.…

XRP Crypto Treasury Firm Evernorth Files S-4 for $1 Billion SPAC Deal
Key Takeaways: Evernorth files Form S-4 with the SEC, merging with SPAC Armada Acquisition Corp. II. Expected to…

Phemex Astral Trading League Introduces $450,000 Prize for Pisces Season
Key Takeaways: Phemex launches the “Pisces” season of its Astral Trading League with a $450,000 prize pool. The…

S&P 500 Debuts on Hyperliquid with First Licensed Perpetual Contracts
Key Takeaways: On March 18, 2026, S&P Dow Jones Indices integrated the S&P 500 on Hyperliquid’s blockchain, marking…
SEC Clarifies How Federal Securities Laws Apply to Crypto Assets
Key Takeaways: The SEC and CFTC jointly released a comprehensive guidance classifying crypto assets into five distinct categories.…
SEC Greenlights Nasdaq for Tokenized Securities Trading
Key Takeaways: SEC approval allows Nasdaq to initiate tokenized securities trading, integrating blockchain into U.S. equity markets. Tokenized…
SEC Redefines 16 Crypto Assets as Digital Commodities
Key Takeaways: On March 17, the SEC and CFTC listed 16 crypto assets as digital commodities, contradicting prior…
U.S. SEC Defines Which Crypto Assets Are Securities
Key Takeaways: The U.S. SEC has issued new guidelines to define cryptocurrencies as securities, establishing a formal interpretive…
SEC and CFTC Announce New Crypto Regulation: Most Digital Assets Declared Non-Securities
Key Takeaways: The SEC and CFTC’s new guidance indicates that most cryptocurrencies will not be classified as securities.…
SEC’s Latest Crypto Guidelines: A Clearer Path for Advisors
Key Takeaways: The SEC and CFTC issued new rules to clarify crypto asset regulations. Crypto assets fall into…