Bitcoin’s Growth May Be Slowing, But Its Long-Term Strength Remains, Says Alphractal
By: bitcoin ethereum news|2025/05/16 11:30:07
0
Share
New research from crypto analytics firm Alphractal suggests that Bitcoin’s explosive growth phases are becoming more subdued with each market cycle — but that’s not necessarily a bad thing. In its latest report, the company notes that Bitcoin’s price historically surges to a multiple of its 2-year moving average (2Y SMA) during bull markets. However, those multiples have steadily declined over time, signaling that the asset is entering a more mature and less volatile phase. Back in its early years, Bitcoin saw peak valuations reaching up to 15 times its 2Y SMA. That figure dropped to 10 in 2017, then slipped even further during the 2021 cycle, first to 5× and eventually to just 2.65×. In the most recent cycle, Bitcoin hasn’t surpassed that 2.65× threshold again — reinforcing the idea that returns are compressing, and the market is stabilizing. Currently, Alphractal estimates that the 2Y SMA ×2.65 mark aligns with a Bitcoin price around $159,000, identifying it as a potential ceiling should momentum return in the near term. Despite narrowing gains, analysts at Alphractal remain optimistic about Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory. “The opportunity to outperform the long-term average still exists,” the firm stated, noting that each cycle continues to demonstrate structural strength — even if the highs are less dramatic. In short, Bitcoin may be growing up — and for long-term investors, that might be exactly what’s needed for wider adoption and enduring value. Reporter at Coindoo Alex is an experienced finance journalist and a cryptocurrency and blockchain enthusiast. With over 8 years of experience covering the crypto, blockchain and fintech industries, he deeply understands the complex and constantly evolving world of digital assets. His insightful and thought-provoking articles provide readers with a clear picture of the latest developments and trends in the market. His passionate approach allows him to break down complex ideas into accessible and insightful content. Follow up on his content to be up to date with the most important trends and topics. Related stories Next article !function(f,b,e,v,n,t,s){if(f.fbq)return;n=f.fbq=function(){n.callMethod?n.callMethod.apply(n,arguments):n.queue.push(arguments)};if(!f._fbq)f._fbq=n;n.push=n;n.loaded=!0;n.version='2.0';n.queue=[];t=b.createElement(e);t.async=!0;t.src=v;s=b.getElementsByTagName(e)[0];s.parentNode.insertBefore(t,s)}(window,document,'script','https://connect.facebook.net/en_US/fbevents.js');fbq('init','1188189499475368');fbq('track','PageView'); Source: https://coindoo.com/bitcoins-growth-may-be-slowing-but-its-long-term-strength-remains-says-alphractal/
You may also like

Who will own the most Bitcoin in 2026
In this article, we will examine some individuals, companies, and wallets that have become crypto whales based on on-chain data and their own public statements, and investigate the amount of Bitcoin they hold.

A private feud lasting 10 years, if not for OpenAI's "hypocrisy," would not have led to the world's strongest AI company, Anthropic
What shapes the global AI landscape is not only the competition of technological routes but also a personal trauma that has never healed.

"Crypto Tsar" steps down: 130 days of political performance come to an end, how much of Trump's crypto promise remains?
The encryption czar has left, and Trump has muted.

Untitled
I’m unable to access the original article content you referenced. Please provide specific details or another article so…

From Utopian Narratives to Financial Infrastructure: The "Disenchantment" and Shift of Crypto VC
Financial infrastructure is the real reason that attracts venture capital investment in the cryptocurrency field.

A decade-long personal feud, if not for OpenAI's "hypocrisy," there would be no globally leading AI company Anthropic
Shaping the global AI landscape is not just a battle of technical paths, but also a wound of private trauma that has never healed

a16z: The True Meaning of Strong Chain Quality, Block Space Should Not Be Monopolized
Essentially, this attribute allows stakeholders to have a "virtual lane" within a high-throughput blockchain to ensure their transactions can be included.

a16z: The True Meaning of Strong Chain Quality, Block Space Should Not Be Monopolized
Essentially, this attribute allows stakeholders to have "virtual lanes" within a high-throughput blockchain, ensuring that their transactions can be included.

2% user contribution, 90% trading volume: The real picture of Polymarket
Is Polymarket a battleground for retail investors or an arena for institutions?

Trump Can't Take It Anymore, 5 Signals of the US-Iran Ceasefire
From Oil Prices and Elections to Secret Negotiations, Are the US and Iran Really Heading for a Ceasefire?

Judge Halts Pentagon's Retaliation Against Anthropic | Rewire News Evening Brief
The "Orwellian" Term Stymies Pentagon's Supply Chain Risk Label for Anthropic

Midfield Battle of Perp DEX: The Decliners, The Self-Savers, and The Latecomers
Hyperliquid has captured this wave of geopolitical market trends with commodity contracts. Decentralized exchanges are moving from internal competition within the crypto industry to a genuine alternative to traditional financial infrastructure, and this direction has only just begun.

Iran War Stalemate: What Signal Should the Market Follow?
Watch the Bond Market

Rejecting AI Monopoly Power, Vitalik and Beff Jezos Debate: Accelerator or Brake?
Can technological advancement be guided, or has it already gone beyond our control?

Insider Trading Alert! Will Trump Call a Truce by End of April?
Multiple Accounts Accurately Predict War, Earn $1.8 Million

After establishing itself as the top tokenized stock, does Ondo have any new highlights?
The total market capitalization of the global stock market is about $150 trillion, while the tokenized stocks market is currently only $10 billion in size, making it akin to a nascent super market that has just cracked the door open.

BIT Brand Upgrade First Appearance, Hosts "Trust in Digital Finance" Industry Event in Singapore
Discussing topics such as governance standards, compliance frameworks, and operational infrastructure within the context of the institutionalization process

OpenClaw Founder Interview: Why the US Should Learn from China on AI Implementation
In the US, using OpenClaw may get you fired; in China, not using it may get you fired
Who will own the most Bitcoin in 2026
In this article, we will examine some individuals, companies, and wallets that have become crypto whales based on on-chain data and their own public statements, and investigate the amount of Bitcoin they hold.
A private feud lasting 10 years, if not for OpenAI's "hypocrisy," would not have led to the world's strongest AI company, Anthropic
What shapes the global AI landscape is not only the competition of technological routes but also a personal trauma that has never healed.
"Crypto Tsar" steps down: 130 days of political performance come to an end, how much of Trump's crypto promise remains?
The encryption czar has left, and Trump has muted.
Untitled
I’m unable to access the original article content you referenced. Please provide specific details or another article so…
From Utopian Narratives to Financial Infrastructure: The "Disenchantment" and Shift of Crypto VC
Financial infrastructure is the real reason that attracts venture capital investment in the cryptocurrency field.
A decade-long personal feud, if not for OpenAI's "hypocrisy," there would be no globally leading AI company Anthropic
Shaping the global AI landscape is not just a battle of technical paths, but also a wound of private trauma that has never healed
