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Political Prediction Market 67% Win Rate Star Account Wagers $27,100 on "US-Iran Ceasefire in March"
According to PolyBeats monitoring, in the prediction market Polymarket, over the past four hours, a celebrity account with a 67% win rate in a political market has continued to increase its position in the "US-Iran Ceasefire in March" outcome, with a total bet of $27.1k, an average entry price of 31.2¢, and a current price of 30.5¢.
Despite Trump repeatedly stating in public speeches that the war will end, today Iran has continued to expand its strike range to Gulf Arab countries: Dubai and Bahrain have sounded air raid sirens, Saudi Arabia reported shooting down two drones over its eastern oil-producing region, and the Kuwaiti National Guard claimed to have downed six drones.
Trump and Israel are not entirely aligned on "when this war will end and under what conditions." Israeli Foreign Minister Gideon Saar stated that "this war will end when Israel and the U.S. decide," but he refused to commit to a swift conclusion. He emphasized that Israel's goal is to weaken Iran's nuclear and missile capabilities and create conditions for the Iranian people to have the opportunity to overthrow the current regime in the future.
Disclaimer: Based on the trader's historical trading pattern, it is concluded that the trader is not betting on the actual outcome of the event, and may engage in profit-taking or stop-loss behavior at a certain point after opening a position.
Account: 0xbaa2bcb5439e985ce4ccf815b4700027d1b92c73
Position: $27.1k
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