The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 95.3%, while the probability of a rate cut is only 4.7%

By: rootdata|2026/03/06 22:43:30

According to Jinshi reports, before the non-farm data was released, based on CME's "Fed Watch," the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points by March is 4.7%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate is 95.3%. By April, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut is 14%, the probability of keeping the rate unchanged is 85.5%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point cut is 0.5%. By June, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut is 31.5%.

-- Price

In Q1 2026, the total financing amount in the primary cryptocurrency market was $4.59 billion, a significant decrease of 46.7% compared to the previous quarter, with 170 financing events, a decline of 14.2% quarter-on-quarter, indicating that the market as a whole has entered a significant contracti...

USDC is the only AI token

Don't be harvested by AI proxy tokens: A deep dive into why stablecoins are the only true master of the AI economy, with the ultimate answer behind the 18 trillion settlement amount hidden in software autonomous operation enterprises.

The voice of a senior Polymarket user: In fact, we have already been surpassed by our competitors

The former track definers are now becoming followers of their competitors' pace. The era of startup makeshift platforms is over; please present a financial-grade platform as it should be.

Transcript of Dr. Han, founder of Gate, speaking at the University of Hong Kong: Breaking the Matthew Effect and Winning in Asymmetric Competition

Gate CEO Dr. Han appeared at the University of Hong Kong to deliver a keynote speech on the theme of "Breaking the Matthew Effect," revealing the essence of unfair competition in the cryptocurrency market, and emphasizing that only by establishing a first-mover advantage and independent thinking ear...

Who will replace AAVE as the new king?

Morpho and JupLend are narrowing the gap, but is this a true disruption or an illusion caused by external shocks? Looking back at the three phases of lending on Ethereum and Solana, the answer may be surprising.

Fu Peng 2026 First Public Speech: What Exactly Are Crypto Assets? Why Did I Join the Crypto Asset Industry?

The advancement of technology is driving the transformation of finance, and crypto assets are at the center of the storm.

Lattice Capital Founder: Crypto VC, Seeing is Believing Because of Faith

"If you believe that this industry will grow 100 times in the future, with less competition and lower valuations, then now is the right time to invest. This is the path we have chosen."

The Pitch Is Set. So Is the Trade: CHZ, SportFi, and the UCL Window That Won't Wait

CHZ is gaining momentum as SportFi narratives accelerate alongside the UEFA Champions League（UCL） and global football cycles. This article explores how CHZ, fan tokens, and the broader SportFi ecosystem are driven by real-world events, market narratives, and capital flows—offering insights into why SportFi is emerging as one of the most dynamic sectors in crypto.

Morning Report | SpaceX acquires Cursor for $60 billion; Kalshi and Polymarket launch perpetual contract trading; NeoCognition completes $40 million financing

Overview of Important Market Events on April 22

IMF | The Future of Stablecoins and Payments: Evidence from Financial Markets

IMF deep report reveals the impact of stablecoin regulation: the US "Genius Act" triggers a $300 billion market earthquake for payment giants, with cross-border payments being the hardest hit, and the industry landscape is facing a reconstruction of "disintermediation."